So, you want a conspiracy theory?
Ok, here's one to try out. al-Hirari was killed (by the Israelis? they're probably capable of dreaming this one up) to lay the groundwork for going after Hezbullah. If Syria leaves Lebanon rapidly, and Hezbullah does raise its profile in Lebanon, an Iraq-like invasion could be rationalized. More war and a holy battle wrapped up in a nice bundle -- what more could a neocon ask for? The only problem with this conspiracy is that the US probably couldn't pull off an invasion logistically. There were two folks on Fresh Air today making Hezbullah to be the equivalent of Al-Queda -- complete with hidden "cells" in the US. Bush's way to deflect not finding Bin Ladin?
posted by Dumplingeater @ 3/03/2005
1 comments
1 Comments:
Arthur,
Mocking, no, maybe teasing a bit? But I like conspiracy theories, too. I just heard that Fresh Air program and things fell into place a bit.... In retrospect, the Israeli theory is wildly speculative -- and I'm clearly out of me league speculating about Middle East politics...
But I think one important factor to consider when evaluating conspiracy theories is what would the potential blowback be if someone from inside leaks proof of the conspiratorial action. So many people of questionable loyalties would have to be involved. If it got out, somehow, that the US did assassinate al-Hirari, it would irrevocably alienate future power brokers in Lebanon from the US. In fact, the assassination has already potentially strengthened Hezbullah's hand. My feeling is that the US never planted WMDs in Iraq because of the potential blowback if proof ever surfaced. And I would think that many Lebanese, certainly Hezbullah or virtually any Islamic fundamentalist, would be very ready to find the US complicit in the assassination, and not shy about promoting such theories -- whether there is evidence or not. I haven't heard about any such charges, and I'd have to wonder why the folks who would be most likely to benefit from acusations of American involvement haven't made any.
What I don't quite understand is the statement that when you look at Lebanon you think "that's putting my tax dollars to work." You think that the US being behind the assassination would be a good thing? If it were true, why would it be a good thing?
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